Intelligent Systems Research Group
Área de Sistemas Inteligentes (ASI)
Research topics related with Forecasting and Data Mining
Analysis and design of bidding strategies in electricity markets
Electricity price forecasting
Gas and electricity demand forecasting
Wind power forecasting
Energy has always been one of the most active areas in analysis and forecasting due to its major
role for the effective and economic operation of power systems. Electricity demand forecasters
are at the core of many operational processes, including power system planning, scheduling and
control. In the competitive framework, load forecasts are additionally used by market agents as
a reference variable for strategic bidding. Furthermore, in many countries wind power forecasting
has become a very useful and indispensable tool for system operators and market agents in order to
cope with the volatility in wind power generation. Finally, market participants need to develop
efficient tools to obtain accurate energy spot price forecasts in order to hedge against the intense
risk exposure existing in current energy markets. Thus, the energy sector has stimulated our research
in real problems where data analysis and estimation is required. In particular, we have developed
short-term as well as medium-term forecasting models for these challenging variables, where classic
and novel approaches such as statistical and Artificial Intelligence based techniques are properly
combined.
Projects related with Forecasting and Data Mining
Technical assistance in the use of the tools EXLA and SIROCO, developed for: Endesa.
Nov/2012-Dec/2013
Course on analysis and forecast of electricity markets with the intelligent data analysis tool (IDAT), developed for: Endesa.
Oct/2012-Dec/2012
Algorithm for detection of physical accesses from unknown sitesto to a social network for kids, developed for: SIMACH.
Mar/2012-Sep/2012
Optimal bidding strategies for the seconadary reserve market, developed for: Endesa.
Feb/2012-Sep/2012
Application of data mining techniques for the monitoring and analysis of the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/2012-Dec/2012
Development of SCIA and SCA systems, developed for: GAMESA.
Jan/2012-Sep/2012
Course on Analysis and Forecast of Electricity Markets with the Intelligent Data Analysis Tool (IDAT), developed for: Global 3 Energía.
Nov/2011-Dec/2011
Integration of forecasting tools at Enagas. Application to the medium-term forecasting tool for conventional demand, developed for: Indra.
Jun/2011-Sep/2013
Maintenance and new capabilities of Eon Tools 2011 to 2012, developed for: E.ON Generación S.L.
Apr/2011-May/2012
Short term electricity and secondary reserve price forecasting, developed for: ALPIQ.
Mar/2011-Apr/2011
Optimal bidding strategies for the seconadary reserve market, developed for: Endesa.
Mar/2011-Dec/2011
Aggregation control center II, developed for: Gamesa.
Jan/2011-Dec/2011
SCIA system with a prediction model, developed for: Gamesa.
Jan/2011-Dec/2011
Application of data mining techniques for the monitoring and analysis of the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/2011-Dec/2011
Analysis and identification of improvements in the forecasting and bidding process for the Spanish secondary reserve electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Oct/2010-Dec/2010
Quantitative analysis of the deviations of the Spanish Electric Power System, developed for: EGL Energía Iberia, S.L..
Sep/2010-Dec/2010
DELFOS-E: short-term forecasting of the Spanish natural gas consumption of the combined cycle power plants, developed for: Indra.
Jun/2010-Nov/2011
Quantitative analysis of the effect of Wind Energy in the Spanish day-ahead Electricity Market price, developed for: Acciona Green Energy Developments.
Apr/2010-Jul/2010
Monitoring and diagnostic analysis of the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/2010-Dec/2010
Optimal management of wind power generation in the Spanish electricity market, developed for: EGL España S.L..
Jul/2009-Jul/2010
Simulation of bidding strategies for the optimal purchase of energy in the Spanish electricity market, developed for: FORTIA.
May/2009-Jul/2009
Development of new algorithms for monitoring the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Apr/2009-Dec/2009
Development of an explanatory model for the daily electricity load, developed for: Eon.
Sep/2008-Dec/2008
Active distribution networks with full integration of demand and distributed energy resources, developed for: Comisión Europea.
Jun/2008-May/2013
Optimal management of wind power generation in the Spanish electricity market, developed for: EGL España S.L..
May/2008-Nov/2008
Course on Analysis of Bidding Curves with the Intelligent Data Analysis Tool (IDAT), developed for: Global 3.
May/2008-May/2008
Course on Time Series Forecasting in Energy Markets, developed for: Varios.
Feb/2008-Feb/2008
Development of new algorithms for monitoring the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Feb/2008-Feb/2009
Analysis of the natural gas demand, developed for: Comisión Nacional de Energía (CNE).
Sep/2007-Jul/2008
Load and distributed generation forecasting for an efficient management of distribution networks, developed for: Everis.
Sep/2007-Mar/2009
Active management of demand, developed for: REE (Red Eléctrica de España).
Jul/2007-Dec/2009
Analysis of the operation of the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Feb/2007-Dec/2007
Maintenance and development of new capabilities of ARO, ARO-OPF, ESAF and ESLA in 2007, developed for: Indra.
Jan/2007-Dec/2007
Report module to visualize the forecast of natural gas demand, developed for: ENAGAS.
Jan/2007-Dec/2007
Price estimation in the Italian electricity market - Valore Italia 2007, developed for: Endesa Italia.
Jan/2007-Dec/2007
Develoment of an intelligent electricity market analysis tool for the optimal management of generation and ancillary services, developed for: Global 3.
Oct/2006-Jul/2007
Analysis, characterization and validation of the quality of service measurement system for Internet Access Providers, developed for: Ministerio de Industria Turismo y Comercio.
Sep/2006-Oct/2006
Maintenance and development of new capabilities of ARO, ARO-OPF, ESAF and ESLA, developed for: Indra.
Sep/2006-Jul/2007
Design and development of a flexible information system for technological prospective studies., developed for: Comisión Europea (IPTS).
Jan/2006-Jan/2007
Putting in operation and improvements of the settlement system for wind energy contracts of W2M, developed for: Wind to Market, S.A..
Nov/2005-Apr/2006
Advanced procedures to access data for the W2M analysis system, developed for: Wind to Market, S.A..
Nov/2005-Sep/2006
Development of an intelligent electricity market analysis tool for wind power management, developed for: Wind to Market, S.A..
Oct/2005-Sep/2006
New developments in the Secondary Reserve Forecasting System SIPREBAN, developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Jun/2005-Jul/2006
Not Available, developed for: Gamesa (Casandra Energy Systems).
May/2005-Jun/2005
Advanced procedures for accessing data in the W2M/Casandra information system, developed for: Wind to Market, S.A..
May/2005-Jul/2005
Technical evaluation of automatic wind energy data acquisition systems, developed for: Wind to Market, S.A..
May/2005-Jun/2005
Analysis and modeling in the mid-term of the Spanish electricity market price under the perspective of wind generation., developed for: Plataforma Empresarial Eólica.
Mar/2005-Jan/2006
Analysis of the connection rules for solving network constraints and estimation of the demand decomposition coefficients, developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Feb/2005-Sep/2005
New developments of the information system for the management of analysis and forecasts in the Spanish electricity market (SGAP), developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Feb/2005-Sep/2005
New decision-support tools for long-term electricity markets, developed for: Iberdrola.
Jan/2005-Dec/2005
Software tool for prediction of the calls to be received in the client call center, developed for: REPSOL GAS.
Nov/2004-Feb/2005
Maintenance of the SGO integrated bidding computer system developed for the Spanish electricity market (2005), developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Nov/2004-Dec/2005
Settlement system for wind energy contracts in the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Wind to Market, S.A..
Oct/2004-Feb/2006
Consultancy for AESL about the Spanish electricity market, developed for: AESL.
Oct/2004-Jan/2005
Development of a short term wind generation forecasting tool based on artificial neural networks, developed for: Gamesa Energía.
Oct/2004-May/2005
Development of intelligent algorithms to improve recognition rates in an automatic toll collection facility based on artificial vision (AVSUR), developed for: Indra.
Jul/2004-Dec/2004
Development of intelligent algorithms to improve recognition rates in an automatic toll collection facility based on artificial vision (VNE), developed for: Indra.
Jul/2004-Dec/2004
Analysis and improvement of the accuracy in an automatic toll collection facility based on artificial vision (VNE), developed for: Indra.
Jun/2004-Sep/2004
Report on differences between data supplied by AIMC about ABC sales and audience., developed for: VOCENTO.
Feb/2004-Apr/2004
Development of an information system for the management of analysis and forecasts in the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Feb/2004-Jan/2005
SGO: Development of an integrated bidding computer system for the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Feb/2004-Jul/2004
Development of decision-support tools for long-term electricity markets, developed for: Iberdrola.
Jan/2004-Dec/2004
Maintenance of the SGO integrated bidding computer system developed for the Spanish electricity market (2004), developed for: Indra-Endesa.
Jan/2004-Oct/2004
MADE, a forecasting tool designed to produce medium-term predictions of natural gas consumption, developed for: ENAGAS.
Oct/2003-Oct/2006
Analysis and improvement of the accuracy in an automatic toll collection facility based on artificial vision, developed for: Indra.
Sep/2003-Oct/2003
Wind energy management in the spanish electricity market, developed for: Gamesa Energías Renovables S.A.- Sociedad Unipersonal.
Jul/2003-Jun/2004
SGO: Development of an integrated bidding computer system for the Spanish electricity market, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/2003-Jan/2004
PATRONES NIVEL-1, a forecasting tool designed to produce medium-term predictions of the total Spanish natural gas consumption, developed for: ENAGAS.
Jun/2002-Jun/2003
SGO: Development of an integrated bidding computer system for the Spanish electrical market, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/2002-Jan/2003
Not Available, developed for: 3 M ESPAÑA, S.A..
Nov/2001-Feb/2002
Development of a statistical model of exploratory character to find the competitive positioning of brands and customers segmentation, developed for: SIGMA-DOS.
Jun/2001-Jul/2004
A software tool for forecasting demand gas patterns, developed for: SEMA.
May/2001-Jun/2002
SGO: Development of an integrated bidding computer system for the Spanish electrical market, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/2001-Jan/2002
Application of data mining techniques to identify structural congestion problems in a situation of uncertainty, developed for: EDF (Electricité de France).
Mar/2000-Jun/2001
Development of new methods and tools for the operation of electrical power systems under competition (III-1): Bidding computer system SGO, developed for: Endesa Servicios.
Jan/2000-Jan/2001
, developed for: Endesa.
Jan/1999-Dec/1999
Development of new tools and procedures to be used in the new competitive Spanish power sector (I-2), developed for: Endesa.
Jan/1998-Dec/1998
77 projects
Conference Papers related with Forecasting and Data Mining
C. Brighenti, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Machine learning methods for detecting anomalies in a power transformer by monitoring its hot-spot temperature", 4th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives - IEEE POWERENG 2013. Estambul, Turkey, 13-17 May 2013
I. Alonso, D. Contreras, F.P. Romero, "Aplicación y medida de la similitud semántica presente en registros clínicos electrónicos para la mejora en estudios de cohortes", XVI Congreso Nacional de Informática de la Salud - INFORMED 2013. ISBN: 978-84695-7444-7, pp. 270-274, Madrid, Spain, 9-11 April 2013
P. Koponen, J. Ikäheimo, A. Vicino, A. Agnetis, G. De Pascale, N. Ruiz, J. Jimeno, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, P. García-González, R. Cossent, "Toolbox for aggregator of flexible demand", 2012 IEEE International Energy Conference and Exhibition (ENERGYCON 2012). ISBN: 978-1467314534, pp. 623-628, Florencia, Italy, 9-12 September 2012
J. Portela, A. Muñoz, E. Alonso, "Day-Ahead residual demand curve forecasting in electricity markets", 32nd Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. ISBN: 1997-4124, Boston, U.S.A., 24-27 June 2012
I. Alonso, D. Contreras, F.P. Romero, "Impacto de las relaciones jerárquicas inter/intra-recursos en la similitud semántica entre conceptos del dominio biomédico", ESTYLF 2012. XVI Congreso Español sobre Tecnologías y Lógica Fuzzy. ISBN: 978-84-615-6653-2, pp. 438-443, Valladolid, Spain, 1-3 February 2012
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, P.R. Castelló, J. Montes, "The process of industrial bioethanol production explained by self-organised maps", 2nd International Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Engineering Systems - ISCIES 2011. ISBN: 978-989-8331-12-0, Coimbra, Portugal, 16-18 November 2011
A. Gascon, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Application of multi-objective genetic algorithms to fitting piecewise linear models", 14th Conferencia de la Asociación Española para la Inteligencia Artificial - CAEPIA’11. ISBN: 978-3-642-25273-0, pp. 11, Tenerife, Spain, 7-11 November 2011
F.P. Romero, M. Ferreira-Satler, I. Alonso, J.A. Olivas, D. Contreras, "Una aproximación a la representación semántica de documentos basada en medidas de similitud entre conceptos", 14th Conferencia de la Asociación Española para la Inteligencia Artificial - CAEPIA’11. ISBN: 978-3-642-25273-0, Tenerife, Spain, 7-11 Novimber 2011
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Berzosa, "New variables to improve electricity and natural gas consumption forecasting: dynamic degree-days", 14th Conferencia de la Asociación Española para la Inteligencia Artificial - CAEPIA’11. ISBN: 978-3-642-25273-0, Tenerife, Spain, 7-11 November 2011
L. Li, M. Gariel, R.J. Hansman, R. Palacios, "Anomaly detection in onboard-recorded flight data using cluster analysis", 30th Digital Avionics Systems Conference - DASC'2011. ISBN: 978-1-61284-797-9, pp. 4A4-1 - 4A4-11, Seattle, Washington, U.S.A., 16-20 October 2011
J.A. García Matos, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, A. Muñoz, A. Sola, "Fault detection through physical modelling in an axial flow compressor of a combined-cycle power plant", European Safety & Reliability Association Conference - ESREL 2011. ISBN: 978-0-415-68379-1, pp. 445-453, Troyes, France, 18-22 September 2011
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, R.J. Andrade Vieira, X. Montilla, "Failure risk analysis and maintenance effectiveness in a windturbine according to its history of unavailability and applied maintenance", European Safety & Reliability Association Conference - ESREL 2011. ISBN: 978-0-415-68379-1, pp. 853-860, Troyes, France, 18-22 September 2011
J.L. Velásquez Contreras, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, S. Banaszak, M. Koch, "Application of machine learning techniques for automatic assessment of FRA measurements", 17th International Symposium on High Voltage Engineering - ISH2011. ISBN: 978-3-8007-3364-4, Hannover, Germany, 22-26 August 2011
J.L. Velásquez Contreras, A. Hedgecock, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, S. Galceran Arellanos, "Reliable and automatic assessment of the frequency response analysis of power transformers: is it feasible?", 3rd International Advanced Research Workshop on transformers - ARWtr2010. ISBN: 9788461435272, Santiago de Compostela, Spain, 3-6 October 2010
J.L. Velásquez Contreras, A. Hedgecock, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, S. Galceran Arellanos, "Multiagent approach for integral condition assessment of power transformers using traditional and advanced diagnostic methods", 3rd International Advanced Research Workshop on transformers - ARWtr2010. ISBN: 9788461435272, Santiago de Compostela, Spain, 3-6 October 2010
A. Cruz, A. Muñoz, "Predicción a corto plazo del precio de la electricidad con modelos semiparamétricos con cambio de régimen", XXXII Congreso Nacional de Estadística e Investigación Operativa. La Coruña, Spain, 14-17 September 2010
L. Li, H. Cho, R.J. Hansman, R. Palacios, "Aircraft-based complexity assessment for radar controllers in the multi-sector planner experiment", 10th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Conference. ISBN: 978-1-60086-749-1, pp. 2010-9005, Texas, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2010
R. Merlo, D. Contreras, C. Puente, "Análisis de opiniones en la red y monitorización del eWOM apartir de una red social de microblogging (Twitter)", LFSC2010: III Simposio sobre Lógica Fuzzy y Soft Computing, CEDI 2010. pp. 377, Valencia, Spain, 7-10 September 2010
J.L. Velásquez Contreras, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, W. Koltunowicz, A. Alexander , M. Heindl, "Pattern recognition of the factors affecting the reproducibility of FRA measurements in power transformers", Conference on Condition Monitoring and Diagnosis 2010 - CMD2010. Tokio, Japan, 6-11 September 2010
J.L. Velásquez Contreras, D. Kolb, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, W. Koltunowicz, "Identification of transformer-specific frequency sub-bands as basis for a reliable and automatic assessment of FRA results", Conference on Condition Monitoring and Diagnosis 2010 (CMD2010). Tokio, Japan, 6-11 September 2010
C. Maté, C. García-Ascanio, "Electricity spot price forecasting using interval time series: A comparison between VAR and iMLP", 30th International Symposium on Forecasting - ISF2010. San Diego, U.S.A., 20-23 June 2010
A. Muñoz, A. Cruz, "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with semi-nonparametric regime switching models", 30th International Symposium on Forecasting. San Diego, U.S.A., 20-23 June 2010
C. Maté, "Forecasting symbolic data", 30th International Symposium on Forecasting - ISF2010. San Diego, U.S.A., 20-23 June 2010
A. Ugedo, E. Lobato, "Validation of a strategic bidding model within the Spanish sequential electricity market", 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems - PMAPS 2010. ISBN: 978-1-4244-5720-5, pp. 396-401, Singapur, Singapore, 14-17 June 2010
A. Cruz, A. Muñoz, "Density forecasting of electricity spot prices with seminonparametric regime switching models", Workshop Industry and Price Forecasting (WIPFOR). París, France, 3-4 June 2010
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, R.J. Andrade Vieira, C. Brighenti, R. Palacios, G. Nicolau, P. Ferrarons, P. Vieira Junior, "Component Stress Evaluation in an Electrical Power Distribution System Using Neural Networks", 23rd International Conference on Industrial, Engineering &. Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems - IEA-AIE 2010. ISBN: 978-3-642-13021-2, pp. 21-30, Córdoba, Spain, 1-4 June 2010
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, M. Castro, J. Santos, "IDSAI: A Distributed System for Intrusion Detection Based on Intelligent Agents", Fifth International Conference on Internet Monitoring and Protection - ICIMP 2010. ISBN: 978-1-4244-6726-6, Barcelona, Spain, 9-15 May 2010
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, D. Contreras, J. García de Diego, A. Pérez, J.J. de Vicente, "Multiagent system for the prevention of accidents of people living alone", Second International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence - ICAART 2010. ISBN: 9783642198908, Valencia, Spain, 22-24 January 2010
C. Maté, "Forecasting symbolic data", Workshop in Symbolic Data Analysis. Wienerwaldhof, Austria, 18-20 October 2009
G. González-Rivera, J. Arroyo, C. Maté, "Forecasting with Interval and Histogram Data. Some Financial Applications", National Bureau of Economic Research -National Science Foundation Time Series Conference. Davis, CA, U.S.A., 11-12 September 2009
J. Morales, C. Maté, "New insights in inflation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging", 29th International Symposium on Forecasting - ISF2009. Hong Kong, China, 21-24 June 2009
A. González, F.M. Echavarren, L. Rouco, E. Lobato, M. Ordiales, S. Bañares, "Caracterización del comportamiento de la carga de las redes de transporte desde el punto de vista de la gestión activa de la demanda", XIII ERIAC - 13er Encuentro Regional Iberoamericano de CIGRE. Puerto de Iguazú, Argentina, 24-28 May 2009
F.M. Echavarren, E. Lobato, L. Rouco, M.I. Navarrete, R. Casanova, "Series temporales aplicadas a la predicción de consignas de tensión en grupos de generación en el sistema eléctrico peninsular español", XIII ERIAC - 13er Encuentro Regional Iberoamericano de CIGRE. Puerto de Iguazú, Argentina, 24-28 May 2009
L. Sigrist, I. Egido, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, L. Rouco, "Representative contingency identification using data mining", 2008 IEEE 25th Convention of Electrical and Electronics Engineers. ISBN: 978-1-4244-2481-8, pp. 792-796, Eilat, Israel, 3-5 December 2008
A. Muñoz, A. Cruz, J. Zamora, R. Espínola, "Forecasting electricity prices with periodic dynamic regression models", 28th International Symposium on Forecasting - ISF2008. Niza, France, 22-25 June 2008
C. Maté, "A Nonparametric Bayesian approach to forecast combination", 28th International Symposium on Forecasting - ISF2008. Niza, France, 22-25 June 2008
A. Ugedo, E. Lobato, "Generator load profiles estimation using artificial intelligence", 14th International Conference on Intelligent Systems Aplications to Power Systems (ISAP 2007). Kaohsiung, Taiwan, 4-8 November 2007
A. Cruz, A. Muñoz, J. Zamora, R. Espínola, J. Alonso, "Modelos lineales y no lineales de series temporales para la predicción a corto plazo del precio de la energía en el mercado eléctrico español", II Simposio de Inteligencia Computacional, SICO'2007 (IEEE Computational Intelligence Society, SC). Zaragoza, Spain, 11-14 September 2007
N. Mosquera, J. Reneses, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, E. Centeno, "Electricity price forecasting model: application to the Italian electricity market", X Jornadas Hispano-lusas de Ingeniería Eléctrica. Madeira, Portugal, 4-6 July 2007
A. Muñoz, C. Maté, A. Sarabia, J. Arroyo, "Advances in forecasting interval-valued time series with Multilayer Perceptrons. Application to eletricity price intervals in energy markets", 27th International Symposium on Forecasting. Nueva York, U.S.A., 24-27 June 2007
R. Espínola, A. Cruz, A. Muñoz, J. Zamora, "A hybric model to forecast electricity market prices", 27th International Symposium on Forecasting. Nueva York, U.S.A., 24-27 June 2007
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Supervised Automatic Learning Models: A new Perspective", 6th DAA (Data Analysis in Astronomy) International Workshop. Pp. 255-263, ISBN-13 978-981-277-944-1. Erice, Italy, 15-22 April 2007
J. Arroyo, A. Muñoz, C. Maté, A. Sarabia, "Exponential smoothing methods for interval time series", ESTSP’07: First European Symposium on Time Series Prediction (TSP). pp. 231- 240. ISBN 978-951-22-8601-0. Otaniemi, Finland, 7-9 February 2007
R. Palacios, A. Doshi, A. Gupta, V. Orlando, B.R. Midwood, "Aircraft position prediction using neural networks", TRANSFAC'06: International Congress on Innovative Solutions for the Advancement of the Transport Industry. San Sebastián, Spain, 4-6 October 2006
J. Arroyo, C. Maté, A. Muñoz, "Hierarchical clustering for boxplot variables", International Federation of Classification Societies 2006 Conference: Data Science and Classification. ISBN: 3-540-34415-2. Ljubljana, Slovenia, 25-29 July 2006
A. Muñoz, J. Marín, R. Palacios, A. Mateo, A. Tostado, "APOLO: A short term wind power forecasting system based on artificial neural networks", 26th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2006). Santander, Spain, 11-14 June 2006
C. Maté, J. Arroyo, A. Muñoz, A. Sarabia, "Smoothing methods for histogram-valued time series", 26th International Symposium on Forecasting. Santander, Spain, 11-14 June 2006
E. Lobato, A. Ugedo, L. Rouco, F.M. Echavarren, "Decision trees applied to Spanish power systems applications", 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS'06). ISBN: 978-91-7178-585-5, Estocolmo, Sweden, 11-15 June 2006
N. Mosquera, J. Reneses, J. Barquín, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Risk analysis in electricity markets by using decision trees", 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS'06). ISBN: 978-91-7178-585-5, Estocolmo, Sweden, 11-15 June 2006
E. Lobato, F.M. Echavarren, L. Rouco, A. Ugedo, "Decision trees applied to forecasting switched shunt devices within the Spanish power system", Artificial Intelligence in Energy Systems and Power (AIESP 2006). Madeira, Portugal, 7-10 February 2006
R. Martínez, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Rough sets divisibles basados en clustering jerárquico", XI Conferencia de la Asociación Española para la Inteligencia Artificial (CAEPIA ‘05). Pp. I-59/I-68. ISBN: 84-96474-13-5. Santiago de Compostela, Spain, 23-25 November 2005
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Muñoz, J. Villar, "Minería y visualización de datos del mercado eléctrico español", III Taller Nacional de Minería de Datos y Aprendizaje (TAMIDA’2005), dentro del I Congreso Español de Informática (CEDI’2005). PP. 289-297. ISBN: 84-9732-449-8. Granada, Spain, 13-16 September 2005
A.L. Arranz, A. Cruz, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "AMADIS: Arquitectura Multi-Agente para la Detección de Anomalías y Diagnóstico Inteligente de sistemas industriales", Congreso Español de Informática (CEDI '2005). Ciclo de Conferencias SICO. Granada, Spain, 13-16 September 2005
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Berzosa, "Fuzzy reference model for daily outdoor air temperature", III Taller Nacional de Minería de Datos y Aprendizaje (TAMIDA’2005), dentro del I Congreso Español de Informática (CEDI’2005). Pp. 271-278. ISBN: 84-9732-449-8. Granada, Spain, 13-16 September 2005
J. Barquín, Á. Garro, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, S. Tejero, "A new model for electricity price series modelling and forward and volatility curves computation", 8th International Conference on Probability Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS 2004), ISBN: 0-9761319-0-0, IEEE Catalog Number: 04EX853C. Ames, Iowa, U.S.A., 12-16 September 2004
J. Besada, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Extraction of fuzzy rules using sensibility analysis in a neural network", International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks - ICANN'02. ISBN: 3-540-44074-7, Madrid, Spain, 27-31 August 2002
J. Villar, A. Muñoz, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Mateo, M. Casado, F.A. Campos, J. Maté, E. Centeno, S. Rubio, J.J. Marcos, R. González, "SGO: Management information system for strategic bidding in electrical markets", IEEE Power Tech. Conference, Vol. I, POM6-394, ISBN: 0-7803-7139-9. Oporto, Portugal, 10-13 September 2001
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, J. Peco, P. Raymont, T. Gómez, S. Bañales, A.L. Hernández, "Application of Data Mining Techniques to Identify Structural. Congestion Problems under Uncertainty", IEEE Power Tech. Conference, Vol. I, POM4-323, ISBN: 0-7803-7139-9. Oporto, Portugal, 10-13 September 2001
A. Mateo, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Muñoz, J. García-González, J. Villar, M. Casado, A. Sáiz, E.J. García, R. González, "Modeling bidding curves: The linear hinges. Model versus the sigmo model", IEEE Power Tech. Conference, Vol. I, POM6-395, ISBN: 0-7803-7139-9. Oporto, Portugal, 10-13 September 2001
A. Mateo, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Muñoz, J. Villar, A. Saiz-Chicharro, J.T. Abarca, E. Losada, "Strategic bidding under uncertainty using genetic algorithms", PMAPS2000: 6th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, , ISBN: 972-95194-1-2. ISBN: 972-95194-1-2, Funchal, Madeira, Portugal, 25-28 September 2000
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, L. Wehenkel, "Automatic fuzzy-rules induction by using the ORTHO model", IPMU'2000, Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, Vol. III, pp. 1652-1659, ISBN Vol III: 84-95479-05-2, ISBN Obra completa: 84-95479-02-8. Madrid, Spain, 3-7 July 2000
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, J. García-González, "Management of sealed-bid auction curves: Applications of the Linear Hinges Model", Proceedings of IPMU'2000, Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, Vol. II, pp. 917-924, ISBN Vol II: 84-95479-04-4, ISBN Obra completa: 84-95479-02-8. Madrid, Spain, 3-7 July 2000
P. Tejedor, J. Martínez, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Reordenación de los ejemplos en fuzzy-ARTMAP para ganar robustez y disminuir el número de categorías: Aplicación a la extracción automática de reglas", Conferencia de la Asociación Española para la Inteligencia Artificial, CAEPIA '99, pp. 158-165, ISBN: 931170-0-5. ISBN: 931170-0-5, Murcia, Spain, 16-19 November 2000
J.A. Rodríguez, F. de Cuadra, O. Nieto-Taladriz, "Implantación de funciones con fuerte carga computacional en sistemas de tiempo real mediante técnicas de interpolación multidimensional recursiva", Seminario Anual de Automática, Electrónica Industrial e Instrumentación (SAAEI 99). ISBN: 84-699-0923-1, Madrid, Spain, 22-24 September 1999
J. Peco, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, T. Gómez, "Enhancing optimal transmission or subtransmission planning by using decision trees", IEEE Power Tech '99 Conference, Paper BPT99-304-16, ISBN: 0780358376. ISBN: 0-7803-5836-8, Budapest, Hungary, 29 August - 2 September 1999
J. Peco, T. Gómez, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Modelo de planificación de una red de alta tensión de distribución", 6ª Jornadas Hispano-Lusas de Ingeniería Eléctrica. ISBN: 84-920984-2-2, Lisboa, Portugal, 7-9 July 1999
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, L. Wehenkel, "The Hinges model: A one-dimensional continuous piecewise polynomial model", Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems - IPMU'98. ISBN: 2-84254-013-1, pp. 878-885, París, France, 6-10 July 1998
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, J. Alba, "Un nuevo enfoque de los algoritmos de construcción de árboles de decisión: Tratamiento de información adicional", VI Conferencia de la Asociación Española para la Inteligencia Artificial, CAEPIA'95, ISBN: 84-920982-0-1. Alicante, Spain, 15-17 November 1995
68 publications
Journal Publications related with Forecasting and Data Mining
P. Renatha N. da Silva, M. Negrão, P. Júnior, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "A new methodology of fault location for predictive maintenance of transmission lines", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems. vol. 42, no. 1, pp. 568-574, November 2012. 10.1016/j.ijepes.2012.04.057 JCR impact factor 2.247 (2011)
C. Maté, "El análisis de intervalos. Aplicaciones en ingeniería", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXIX, no. III, pp. 20-27, June 2012.
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, A. Muñoz, A. de Marcos, M. Bada, "Intelligent system for a remote diagnosis of a photovoltaic solar power plant", Journal of Physics: Conference Series. vol. 364, no. 1, pp. 1201-1212, June 2012. 10.1088/1742-6596/364/1/012119
S. Lumbreras, J.M. Lucas, "Una introducción a los mercados de futuros y opciones", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXIX, no. I, pp. 28-35, February 2012.
C. Brighenti, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Auto-regressive processes explained by self-organized maps: application to the detection of abnormal behavior in industrial processes", IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks. vol. 22, no. 12, pp. 2078-2090, December 2011. 10.1109/TNN.2011.2169810 JCR impact factor 2.952 (2011)
J.L. Velásquez Contreras, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, S. Galceran Arellanos, "General asset management model in the context of an electric utility: application to power transformers", Electric Power Systems Research. vol. 81, no. 11, pp. 2015-2037, November 2011. 10.1016/j.epsr.2011.06.007 JCR impact factor 1.478 (2011)
A. Cruz, A. Muñoz, J. Zamora, R. Espínola, "The effect of wind generation and weekday on Spanish electricity spot price forecasting", Electric Power Systems Research. vol. 81, no. 10, pp. 1924-1935, October 2011. 10.1016/j.epsr.2011.06.002 JCR impact factor 1.478 (2011)
A. Ugedo, E. Lobato, "Application of neural networks to the management of voltage constraints in the Spanish market", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems. vol. 33, no. 7, pp. 1262-1271, September 2011. 10.1016/j.ijepes.2011.05.002 JCR impact factor 2.247 (2011)
S. Lumbreras, C. Maté, "El mercado de divisas y la gestión del riesgo de los tipos de cambio", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXVIII, no. V, pp. 14-19, September 2011.
C. Maté, "Book review: Ramon E. Moore, Ralph B. Kearfott, Michael J Cloud. Introduction to interval analysis. SIAM (2009) (hardcover) $72 USA, 223 pages. ISBN: 978-0-898716-69-6", Fuzzy Sets and Systems. vol. 177, no. 1, pp. 95-97, August 2011. 10.1016/j.fss.2011.02.006 JCR impact factor 1.759 (2011)
J. Arroyo, G. González-Rivera, C. Maté, A. Muñoz, "Smoothing methods for histogram-valued time series. An application to Value-at-Risk", Statistical Analysis and Data Mining. vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 216-228, April 2011. 10.1002/sam.10114
J. Arroyo, R. Espínola, C. Maté, "Different approaches to forecast interval time series: a comparison in finance", Computational Economics. vol. 37, no. 2, pp. 169-191, February 2011. 10.1007/s10614-010-9230-2 JCR impact factor 0.514 (2011)
R. Merlo, D. Contreras, C. Puente, "Análisis de opiniones en Internet a partir de la red social Twitter", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXVII, no. 6, pp. 54-59, November 2010.
L. Sigrist, I. Egido, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, L. Rouco, "Representative operating and contingency scenarios for the design of UFLS schemes", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. vol. 25, no. 2, pp. 906-913, May 2010. 10.1109/TPWRS.2009.2031839 JCR impact factor 2.678 (2011)
R. Palacios, A. Doshi, A. Gupta, V. Orlando, B.R. Midwood, "Neural network models to detect airplane near-collision situations", Transportation Planning and Technology. vol. 33, no. 3, pp. 237-255, April 2010. 10.1080/03081061003732300 JCR impact factor 0.203 (2011)
C. Maté, "Book Review: Svetlozar, T. Rachev, John S.J. Hsu, B.S. Bagasheva and F.J. Fabozzi , Bayesian Methods in Finance, John Wiley and Sons, USA (2008) ISBN 978-0-471-92083-0 (hardcover), $95, 329 pages", International Journal of Forecasting. vol. 25, no. 3, pp. 632-634, July 2009. 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.02.007 JCR impact factor 1.863 (2010)
J. Arroyo, C. Maté, "Forecasting histogram time series with k-nearest neighbours methods", International Journal of Forecasting. vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 192-207, January 2009. JCR impact factor 1.863 (2010)
R. Palacios, A. Doshi, A. Gupta, "Computing aircraft position prediction", The Open Transportation Journal. vol. 2, pp. 94-97, December 2008. 10.2174/1874447800802010094
C. Maté, L. Fernández-Butragueño, "El cambio de ciclo económico actual. Una aproximación desde las relaciones gráficas de volatilidad en los mercados", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXV, no. VI, pp. 56-59, November 2008.
N. Mosquera, J. Reneses, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Medium-term risk analysis in electricity markets: A decision-tree approach", International Journal of Energy Sector Management. vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 318-339, September 2008. 10.1108/17506220810892900
A.L. Arranz, A. Cruz, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, P.R. Castelló, J. Coutiño, "DADICC: Intelligent system for anomaly detection in a combined cycle gas turbine plant", Expert Systems with Applications. vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 2267-2277, May 2008. 10.1016/j.eswa.2007.03.005 JCR impact factor 2.203 (2011)
J. García-González, A. Muñoz, F.A. Campos, J. Villar, "Connecting the intraday energy and reserve markets by an optimal redispatch", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. vol. 22, no. 4, pp. 2220-2231, November 2007. 10.1109/TPWRS.2007.907584 JCR impact factor 2.678 (2011)
M. Asuar, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Previsión de densidad del tráfico mediante redes neuronales", Novática. no. 188, pp. 54-58, July 2007.
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Berzosa, "Modeling and forecasting industrial end-use natural gas consumption", Energy Economics. vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 710-742, July 2007. 10.1016/j.eneco.2007.01.015 JCR impact factor 2.466 (2010)
E. Lobato, F.M. Echavarren, L. Rouco, A. Ugedo, "Decision trees applied to forecasting switched shunt devices within the Spanish power system", International Journal of Innovations in Energy Systems and Power. vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 6-12, June 2007.
C. Maté, "Bayesian statistics and marketing", Interfaces. vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 302-303, June 2007. JCR impact factor 0.843 (2011)
A. Muñoz, C. Maté, J. Arroyo, A. Sarabia, "iMLP: Applying multi-layer perceptrons to interval-valued data", Neural Processing Letters. vol. 25, no. 2, pp. 157-169, April 2007. 10.1007/s11063-007-9035-z JCR impact factor 0.750 (2011)
R. Martínez, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Rough sets divisibles basados en clustering jerárquico", Inteligencia Artificial - Revista Iberoamericana de Inteligencia Artificial . vol. 10, no. 31, pp. 71-79, October 2006.
M. García, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, J. del Pico, "SIMAP: Intelligent System for Predictive Maintenance: Application to the health condition monitoring of a windturbine gearbox", Computers in Industry. vol. 57, no. 6, pp. 552-568, August 2006. 10.1016/j.compind.2006.02.011 JCR impact factor 1.529 (2011)
A. Ugedo, E. Lobato, Á. Franco, L. Rouco, J. Fernández-Caro, J. Chofre Álvarez, "Strategic bidding in sequential electricity markets", IEE Proceedings-Generation Transmission and Distribution. vol. 153, no. 4, pp. 431-442, July 2006. 10.1049/ip-gtd:20045192 JCR impact factor 0.293 (2006)
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Muñoz, J. Villar, "Minería y visualización de datos del mercado eléctrico español", Inteligencia Artificial - Revista Iberoamericana de Inteligencia Artificial . vol. 10, no. 29, pp. 79-88, May 2006.
A. Ugedo, E. Lobato, J. Peco, L. Rouco, "Decision trees applied to the management of voltage constraints in the Spanish market", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 963-972, May 2005. JCR impact factor 2.678 (2011)
I. Dapena, A. Muñoz, A. Sánchez, "Sistemas de información orientados a la toma de decisiones: El enfoque multidimensional", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXII, no. III, pp. 18-23, May 2005.
A.L. Arranz, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "CLELIA: a multi-agent system for Publishing printed and electronic media", Expert Systems with Applications. vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 725-734, May 2005. 10.1016/j.eswa.2004.12.029 JCR impact factor 2.203 (2011)
A. Mateo, A. Muñoz, J. García-González, "Modeling and forecasting electricity prices with input/output hidden Markov models", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 13-24, February 2005. 10.1109/TPWRS.2004.840412 JCR impact factor 2.678 (2011)
M. Manso, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Valoración de olas de frío y calor", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXI, no. IV, pp. 20-25, July 2004.
J. Villar, A. Muñoz, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "SGO: Sistema de información para la realización de ofertas en el mercado eléctrico español", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXXI, no. I, pp. 40-50, January 2004.
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, R. Palacios, A. Muñoz, A. García-Escudero, M. Pérez, Á.L. Matesanz, "ISPMAT: sistema inteligente de mantenimiento predictivo aplicado a trenes", Ingeniería y gestión de mantenimiento. no. 30, pp. 41-46, July 2003.
E. Centeno, B. Vitoriano, F.A. Campos, A. Muñoz, J. Villar, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "A goal programming model for rescheduling of generation power in deregulated markets", Annals of Operations Research. vol. 120, no. 1-4, pp. 45-57, April 2003. 10.1023/A:1023366127386 JCR impact factor 0.840 (2011)
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, R. Palacios, A. Muñoz, A. Pareja, A. García-Escudero, M. Pérez, "Sistema inteligente para el mantenimiento predictivo de componentes de trenes eléctricos de cercanías", Mantenimiento. vol. 1, no. 147, pp. 23-28, September 2001.
M. García, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, J. del Pico, "Técnicas de inteligencia artificial aplicadas al mantenimieto predictivo de aerogeneradores", Mantenimiento. no. 137, pp. 5-16, September 2000.
A. Muñoz, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "An incipient fault detection system based on the probabilistic radial basis function network. Application to the diagnosis of the condenser of a coal power plant", Neurocomputing. vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 177-194, December 1998. 10.1016/S0925-2312(98)00082-4 JCR impact factor 1.580 (2011)
E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, "Aprendizaje automático a partir de ejemplos: árboles de decisión", Anales de Mecánica y Electricidad. vol. LXXIV, no. I, pp. 27-39, January 1997.
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Inteligencia artificial y sistemas expertos", Razón y fe: Revista hispanoamericana de cultura. vol. 233, March 1996.
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, I.J. Pérez-Arriaga, J.L. Serrano, M.E. Ortiz-Alfaro, J. Alba, Á. Doménech, M.J. Villamediana, "Control and diagnosis of water chemistry in the water-steam and water makeup in a fossil fueled power plant", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems. vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 251-258, August 1994. JCR impact factor 2.247 (2011)
45 publications
Books and Book chapters related with Forecasting and Data Mining
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, P.R. Castelló, J. Montes, "The process of industrial bioethanol production explained by self-organised maps", en Computational intelligence and decision making. Editores Ana Madureira, Cecilia Reis, Viriato Marques. Ed. Springer. Leiden, The Netherlands, 2012.
M.A. Sanz-Bobi, D. Contreras, A. Sánchez, "Multi-agent systems orientated to assist with daily activities in the homes of elderly and disabled people", en Human-computer interaction: the agency perspective (studies in computational intelligence). Editores Zacarias, M. y Valente de Oliveira, J.. Ed. Springer. Berlín, Germany, 2012.
G. Aneiros, R. Cao, J.M. Vilar-Fernández, A. Muñoz, "Functional prediction for the residual demand in electricity spot markets", en Recent advances in functional data analysis and related topics. Editores Ferraty, F.. Ed. Physica-Verlag HD. Heidelberg, Germany, 2011.
J. Arroyo, G. González-Rivera, C. Maté, "Forecasting with interval and histogram data: some financial applications", en Handbook of empirical economics and finance. Editores Ullah, A. y Giles, D.E.A.. Ed. Chapman & Hall/CRC Press. , , 2010.
A. Muñoz, E.F. Sánchez-Úbeda, A. Cruz, J. Marín, "Short-term Forecasting in Power Systems: A guided Tour", en Handbook of Power Systems II. Editores Pardalos, P.M.; Rebennack, S.; Pereira, M.V.F y Iliadis, N.A.. Ed. Springer. Berlín, Germany, 2010.
C. Maté, Análisis bayesiano de datos (ANBAD). Ed. Asociación Española para la Calidad. Madrid, Spain, 2006.
E. Centeno, J. Barquín, J.I. de la Fuente, A. Muñoz, M. Ventosa, J. García-González, A. Mateo, A. Martín, "Competitors' response representation for market simulation in the Spanish daily market", en Modelling prices in competitive electricity markets. Editores Derek W. Bunn. Ed. John Wiley & Sons Limited. Chichester, UK, 2006.
R. Martínez, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, "Divisible rough sets based on self-organizing maps ", en Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 3776. Editores Sankar K. Pal, Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, Sambhunath Biswas. Ed. Springer-Verlag. Berlín, Germany, 2005.
C. Maté, A. Ruiz-Falcó, "Design for maintainability. A methodology using statistical methods", en Maintenance Management and Optimisation. Ed. European Commission. Luxemburgo, Luxemburg, 2003.
A. Muñoz, J. Villar, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, A. Gimeno, L. Zarauza, "Neural Network approach to the diagnosis of the boiler combustion in a coal power plant", en Industrial Applications of Neural Networks. Editores F. Fogelman Soulié and P. Gallinari. Ed. World Scientific. River Edge, NJ, USA, 1998.
C. Maté, N. Carlos, Curso General Sobre STATGRAPHICS. Anexo para la versión Plus for Windows. Ed. Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid, Spain, 1996.
C. Maté, Curso General Sobre STATGRAPHICS. Procedimientos. Métodos Estadísticos. Aplicaciones. Ejercicios Resueltos. Tomo I. Ed. Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid, Spain, 1995.
A. Sarabia, C. Maté, Problemas de Probabilidad y Estadística. Elementos Teóricos. Cuestiones. Aplicaciones con STATGRAPHICS. Ed. Clagsa. Madrid, Spain, 1993.
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